The European steel market is preparing for two major regulatory developments: the full introduction of CBAM and the upcoming adjustments to the EU safeguard measures. Both will shape pricing, availability and import dynamics in 2026. 

From January 1 2026, the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will apply to reduce the Co₂ emissions of imported steel products.

While the final certificate price will be confirmed at a later stage, provisional data from the European Commission indicates that CBAM-related costs for steel products are expected to be currently ranging between approximately €150 and €550 per ton. Exact prices depend on product type and country of origin. As a result, these carbon-related costs are expected to influence import pricing from early 2026 onward.

Additionally, the European Commission has made a proposal on the new safeguard measures that limit annual steel import volumes. A significant reduction of 1.8 million tons is implemented, which is 57% less imports. Also, for HRC a reduction of 4.3 million tons is foreseen. Lastly, the proposal states an increase on the over-quota tariff from 25% to 50%. These measures are expected to increase the price pressure and temporarily affect product availability. 

With our global network and strong supplier base, Van Leeuwen is well positioned to navigate these changes and continue supporting our customers with reliable supply and clear guidance. 

For further information on these topics, please refer to our FAQ.